{"id":5148,"date":"2024-09-25T16:35:16","date_gmt":"2024-09-25T16:35:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/bellwether-poll-shows-trump-up-big-on-kamala-harris\/"},"modified":"2024-09-25T16:35:16","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T16:35:16","slug":"bellwether-poll-shows-trump-up-big-on-kamala-harris","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/bellwether-poll-shows-trump-up-big-on-kamala-harris\/","title":{"rendered":"Bellwether Poll Shows Trump Up Big On Kamala Harris"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Former President Donald Trump received more positive news for his third White House bid on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>According to the New York Post, a \u201ccookie\u201d poll conducted by a Cincinnati bakery, known for its accurate predictions in every presidential election since 1984, shows Trump with a solid lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.<\/p>\n<p>According to the latest tally from Busken Bakery shared with The Post, Trump received approximately 54% support (2,953 cookies) compared to Harris\u2019 39% (2,134 cookies). An \u201cindependent\u201d smiley-face cookie garnered 7% (397 cookies).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe cookie poll will remain open until Election Day on Nov. 5, so the tallies reflect the result of \u2018early voting\u2019 by those with a sweet tooth,\u201d The Post noted.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe like to joke and say [customers] can stuff the ballot box,\u201d bakery president and CEO Dan Busken told the outlet.<\/p>\n<p>Trump leads Cincinnati \u2018cookie\u2019 poll that has predicted every election but one since 1984 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/i515pEl2h6\">https:\/\/t.co\/i515pEl2h6<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/leEiF9uEFa\">pic.twitter.com\/leEiF9uEFa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 New York Post (@nypost) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nypost\/status\/1838304750057439256?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 23, 2024<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p>\u201cOur results, out of our four retail stores, kind of cover the north, south, east and west portions of Cincinnati. So they\u2019re pretty diverse,\u201d Busken told The Post. \u201cIt\u2019s definitely interesting that in a state like Ohio and in a city like Cincinnati that there\u2019s been such accuracy in this cookie poll over the years.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, some Democratic senators have expressed concerns that support for former President Donald Trump is being underrepresented in polling data, as has been the case during the past two presidential election cycles.<\/p>\n<p>After Trump outperformed polling projections in both 2016 and 2020, Democrats told\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4891637-democratic-lawmakers-worry-pollsters\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Hill<\/a>\u00a0that the 2024 election is expected to be close, regardless of current poll numbers. As of Monday afternoon, Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris by 2.2 points nationally, according to the RealClearPolitics average. This margin is narrower than Biden\u2019s lead over Trump at this point in 2020 (7 points) and Hillary Clinton\u2019s lead over Trump in 2016 (3 points).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s ominous,\u201d said one anonymous Democratic senator while discussing how Trump appears to be performing better in the polls against Harris. \u201cThere\u2019s no question that is concerning, but you\u2019re working as hard as you can work, no matter what. My sense there\u2019s not a lot more you can do than we\u2019re already doing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The senator added that he believes undercounting support for Trump may be due to people feeling \u201cembarrassed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost of what he preaches, most of us have taught our children to try to not be that way on the playground,\u201d the senator said. \u201cSo there\u2019s a certain amount of reluctance to admit I\u2019m going to vote for somebody whose conduct I tell my children is wrong.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>That remark comes as most Democrats have been painting Trump as a \u201cthreat to democracy\u201d after labeling him a \u201cNazi,\u201d a \u201cfascist,\u201d a \u201cracist,\u201d and a \u201cbigot\u201d \u2014 among other names \u2014 for years. He and his supporters have blamed Democratic rhetoric for the two assassination attempts against him.<\/p>\n<p>Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), meanwhile, has warned against putting any stock in polls, arguing, \u201cPolling has really been seriously damaged since 2016. And that\u2019s one of the truths, is that Trump is going to be tough in Pennsylvania, and that\u2019s absolutely the truth.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) said of his battleground state \u201cthe only poll that matters is Nov. 5.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe know this election is going to be close. It\u2019s going to be close in the battleground states, including Georgia, which is why I\u2019m doing everything I can to make sure we put Georgia in our column,\u201d he said. \u201cThe only poll that matters is Nov. 5, right?\u201d He added: \u201cWe talk about margin of error for a reason.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another Democratic senator who spoke to The Hill on the condition of anonymity said, \u201cI don\u2019t think any poll right now means much of anything.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFiguring out the turnout is the hardest thing out there. This cycle, there may be a surprise Trump vote and a surprise Harris vote,\u201d Democratic pollster Celinda Lake told The Hill. \u201cI, too, share the concern that there are going to be some surprises. What accentuates my concern is when you poll people who have not voted in \u201920 but are planning to vote today, they are disproportionately Trump voters.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/conservativebrief.com\/trump-leading-85952\/\">Bellwether Poll Shows Trump Up Big On Kamala Harris<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/conservativebrief.com\/\">Conservative Brief<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former President Donald Trump received more positive news for his third White House bid on Monday. According to the New York Post, a \u201ccookie\u201d poll conducted by a Cincinnati bakery, known for its accurate predictions in every presidential election since 1984, shows Trump with a solid lead over Vice President Kamala Harris. According to the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[136],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5148\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/topproductsonly.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}